Signal Feed · Updated after every market close
Global Systematic Signal Output
Run date: 2026-06-13 · 55 instruments · OOS walk-forward validated
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Macro Regime
Weak / Neutral
Volatility
Contango
VIX 19.4
Yield Curve
Normal
2s10s +0.4bp
Credit
Normal
HY/IG ratio 3.71
Correlation
Stable
Models Active
1 / 10
9 excluded · late cycle regime
Ensemble Composition
Ensemble: 1 specialist model active · 9 excluded in current regime
SPY
Strong Long +0.9273
late cyclenormalstablecontangotrending
Short-Term · 3-day / 3-week
3-day momentum is strong upward. 3-week trend is strong downward (diverging with 3-day). Current move is 2 days old.
Intermediate · 3-month
3-month momentum is strong upward. Intermediate trend is 3 days mature. Vix term structure signals low stress (vix contango).
Long-Term · 9-month / Secular
9-month trend is strong upward. Secular (36-month) backdrop is bullish (+27.333). The intermediate move has persisted for 3 days. Macro regime is late cycle. Rate environment is normal yield curve. Momentum persistence is trending (h=0.59).
Signal Consensus
1 of 1 active signal(s) bullish: Alpha Model. Model has predicted this ticker well recently (ic=+0.480, n=63).
Risk Conditions
Vol regime: normal. High rate sensitivity (score=0.15) — sensitive to hy spread moves.
IC=+0.480 · 147 OOS months 53 more briefs · Premium →
Top 5 Long Signals
EWGintl developed
Strong Long+1.0000
XLEus energy
Strong Long+0.9636
SPYus broad
Strong Long+0.9273
QQQus broad
Strong Long+0.8909
EEMintl em
Strong Long+0.8545
Top 5 Short Signals
EWYintl em
Strong Short-0.9636
SILJprecious metals
Strong Short-0.9273
SILprecious metals
Strong Short-0.8909
SMCIus tech
Strong Short-0.8545
COPXmaterials
Strong Short-0.8182
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54-Ticker Signal Table 55 instruments · sorted by conviction
Showing top 10 signals · Full table available to Premium subscribers
Ticker Direction Meta Alpha Rolling IC Conviction
EWGintl developedStrong Long
+1.0000
-0.311
60%
XLEus energyStrong Long
+0.9636
+0.479
100%
SPYus broadStrong Long
+0.9273
+0.480
100%
QQQus broadStrong Long
+0.8909
+0.671
100%
EEMintl emStrong Long
+0.8545
+0.217
100%
XOPenergyStrong Long
+0.8182
-0.061
60%
XLKus techStrong Long
+0.7818
+0.400
100%
OIHenergyStrong Long
+0.7455
+0.402
100%
IWMus broadStrong Long
+0.7091
+0.506
100%
EWAintl developedStrong Long
+0.6727
-0.222
60%
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Allocation weights, confidence scores, multi-timeframe signals (3-day through 36-month), and full brief text for all 54 instruments.
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Mean IC
0.1004
Predictive accuracy: 0 = random. 0.10 sustained over 147 months = consistently identifying which assets outperform.
T-Statistic
6.1293
Statistical confidence the edge is real. Institutional threshold: 2.0. At 6.13, probability of random chance < 1 in 1,000,000,000.
IC Lower 95%
0.0729
95% confidence lower bound. Positive = statistically confident the predictive edge is non-zero.
OOS Months
147
Monthly walk-forward prediction observations, 2014–present. Every prediction made on data the model had never seen before.