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Built on evidence,
not opinion.

Systematic quantitative research for investors who measure success in absolute returns — not relative to a benchmark. Three strategies, one signal, your risk.

7,263%
Peak total return · 12yr
36.6%
Annualized · top tier
65
ETF universe
Choose your risk-reward.

Three strategies. One signal.

Conservative, levered, or pyramid-scaled — each strategy targets a different return profile and drawdown tolerance. Pick the one that fits how you invest.

Unlevered trending
Conservative line. Full conviction, 1.5× gross cap, no leverage mechanism. Stays fully deployed through drawdowns and compounds without deleveraging friction.
2,495%
Total return · 12yr
Ann. return27.7%
Max DD (live)−11.6%
Avg gross exposure1.49×
Exit threshold0.15
Pyramid levered
Scale-in on strength. One unit at entry — adds as price confirms the thesis. Winners build to full size. Losers stay small. Maximum conviction at maximum efficiency.
4,170%
Total return · 5% tier · 12yr
Ann. return (5% tier)32.0%
Max DD (live)−18.2%
Avg gross (5% tier)2.14×
Max units / position4
Why quantitative systematic

We don't predict markets. We measure them — then act with conviction.

Quantitative means every decision is driven by measurement. Systematic means it never deviates. Six principles, tested across 65 markets over twelve years.

Quantitative — model-driven decisions

Every entry, exit, and position size is calculated by a model applied to market data. Markets exhibit measurable, persistent dynamics — momentum, volatility clustering — because information diffuses gradually and capital reallocates over time rather than instantly. The model measures those dynamics directly.

Systematic — rules applied without exception

A fixed rule set governs every market, every day, with no discretionary override. The realized edge in systematic strategies comes from strict rule adherence over time — deviating from the rules, especially under stress, is what erodes an edge the data shows to be persistent.

Factor-based, ensembled conviction

Position size reflects measurable drivers of return — momentum, conviction strength, volatility — aggregated across independent models into a single conviction score. Ensembling reduces idiosyncratic model error the same way diversification reduces idiosyncratic asset risk.

Volatility-derived position sizing

Position size is calculated from each market's measured volatility and adjusts automatically as conditions change. This normalizes dollar risk contribution across markets with very different volatility regimes — gold, equities, and bonds are not sized the same way.

Signal-driven, asymmetric exits

Exit thresholds are set at entry and calibrated per market, closing positions when the signal decays — not on a price target or calendar date. This preserves the asymmetric payoff structure that trend-following's long-run edge depends on: contained losses, extended winners.

Drawdown-aware risk management

As the portfolio draws down from its peak, the risk budget steps down automatically, then restores on recovery. Capital preserved through a losing stretch compounds faster once the recovery begins.

See the full methodology →
The universe

65 liquid ETFs. 14 macro categories. Nothing redundant.

Within each category, we monitor the single most liquid instrument available — not every possible way to express the same trade. Fewer, cleaner instruments mean tighter spreads, deeper order books, and execution that holds up at size.

Every instrument is screened for average daily volume and bid-ask spread before inclusion. A signal is only as good as your ability to act on it without moving the market.

The philosophy

Markets reward those who think in decades, not quarters.

Systematic. Signal-driven. Built for investors who accept short-term volatility as the price of long-run compounding. No benchmark hugging. No market-neutral hedging. Just conviction — sized correctly for your risk appetite.

Founding member waitlist

Secure your
position.

Founding members get priority access, locked pricing, and early visibility into live signal performance before public launch. Limited to 250 spots.

While you wait
Pick one ticker below and get our full weekly research report on it — the same sizing, exit triggers, and factor breakdown paying subscribers see. Free until launch, then it becomes part of your subscription.
Be a founding member — 250 spots available
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